Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 242.540115 273.706247 308.449096 350.253804 399.459152 455.863857 525.886014
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 195.590200 236.104007 285.351181 350.423717 435.363409 544.208094 697.129381
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 165.219761 207.974257 262.865896 339.962013 447.867600 597.358116 827.272834
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 144.399692 187.685922 245.661280 331.116517 457.679623 644.792489 955.912244
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 134.334809 179.838346 243.229870 341.046471 494.075093 735.402835 1170.064589
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 124.078816 170.209610 236.616188 343.137752 517.859894 809.583602 1374.723909
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 113.589401 158.968630 226.085950 337.303975 527.234172 860.485548 1549.495878
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 106.354525 151.727965 220.614451 338.451459 547.906796 934.352957 1789.251963
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 98.294280 142.437133 210.905346 331.151803 552.200702 977.934861 1977.252816
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 92.297042 135.805713 204.725313 328.972102 565.235364 1040.705022 2228.227707
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 84.582601 125.829972 192.168536 314.064665 551.712563 1045.942415 2340.263995
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 82.329015 124.478046 193.810772 324.893498 590.281262 1170.787285 2808.850911
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 80.722778 124.148857 197.305988 339.908879 640.713050 1336.593161 3475.227074
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 76.809418 119.645619 193.113495 339.682293 658.773547 1430.112835 3969.976988
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 71.838804 112.972108 184.472413 329.635782 653.376254 1463.030963 4278.964766
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 67.538695 107.181540 176.985381 321.125957 650.237717 1501.474766 4630.160591
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 66.010417 106.153710 178.183142 330.678353 691.282972 1672.663391 5603.124771
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 63.632244 103.435747 175.960828 332.689755 714.275205 1798.501116 6479.195155
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 60.527974 99.203821 170.511383 327.078494 717.065065 1863.717997 7125.795828
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 58.430645 96.688092 168.202485 328.182287 737.589606 1991.865493 8198.473565
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 55.592361 92.631852 162.565840 321.159924 735.195445 2043.240249 8901.032180
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 53.472411 89.807548 159.201698 319.062725 746.173364 2145.132679 10007.889176
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 50.242059 84.718083 150.942019 304.715769 720.426563 2107.548230 10193.395075